Clean inputs
Operational gaps are identified before they become purchasing mistakes.
A weekly outsourced demand-planning function for growing ecommerce brands with physical, replenishable products.
The weekly brief
One plan.
Every SKU.
Every week.
Operational gaps are identified before they become purchasing mistakes.
Forecast, inventory position, reorder decision, and risk classification.
Supplier-ready recommendations, with final authority retained by your team.
The forecasting engine
Every SKU is forecast by testing, not asserting, which method fits its history — and only switching from the simple baseline when the evidence clears a statistical bar.
24 methods
Candidate forecasting methods per SKU, from Croston's method for intermittent demand to the Theta method that won the M3 forecasting competition.
lib/reorder/forecast.ts
Bonferroni-corrected
A challenger method only replaces the baseline when a Diebold-Mariano significance test says the improvement isn't backtest noise.
Statistical selection
52- & 104-week
History thresholds that activate seasonal-naive models for monthly, quarterly and annual demand cycles.
Seasonality
A newer SKU without a full year of history is not yet modeled for seasonality — there isn't enough data to validate it, and the engine reports that honestly rather than guessing.
Weekly planning, month to month
01Capacity matched to your SKU count
02CSV sales and inventory inputs
03Historical demand analysis
04Weekly purchasing plans
0513-week cash schedule
06Private PDF plan history
Built for replenishment
The common requirement is not one specific industry. It is a stable SKU, physical inventory, supplier lead time and repeatable demand.
Skincare, haircare, bath, grooming and beauty accessories.
Candles, diffusers, cleaning tools and replenishable household goods.
Grooming, toys, accessories and other nonperishable pet goods.
Paper goods, art materials, hobby supplies and packaged kits.
Bags, organizers, travel goods and simple product accessories.
Shelf-stable, nonregulated products without complex expiry planning.
Not yet designed for fashion size curves, perishables, supplements, furniture, made-to-order goods, dropshipping or marketplace-only operations.
The capital problem
Too little inventory leaves demand unfilled. Too much commits capital to products that keep costing money while they wait to sell.
15–25%
Common annual carrying-cost rule of thumb, measured against inventory value.
ASCM
≈3%
Revenue improvement associated with fewer stockouts in a broad supply-chain analytics benchmark.
McKinsey
10%
Potential working-capital reduction reported in the same broad benchmark.
McKinsey
Industry benchmarks describe broad observations, not promised client results. The paid pilot measures the opportunity using each brand's own demand, margins, inventory and supplier constraints.
“Know what to order, when to order it, and what it will cost.”
Review plans